口腔医学 ›› 2022, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (10): 869-877.doi: 10.13591/j.cnki.kqyx.2022.10.002

• 基础研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于免疫相关基因构建口腔鳞癌临床预后模型

张竞飞1, 李玲2, 秦汉1, 王智2, 李云玲2, 刘敬华2, 蔡圳2   

  1. 1 滨州医学院口腔医学院,山东烟台(264000);
    2 临沂市人民医院口腔科,山东临沂(276000)
  • 修回日期:2022-06-13 出版日期:2022-10-28 发布日期:2022-10-28
  • 通讯作者: 蔡 圳 Tel:(0539)8071029, E-mail:Caizhen6638@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    山东省自然科学基金(ZR2021MH033);山东省中医药科技发展项目(2021M024)

Construction of clinical prognostic model of oral squamous cell carcinoma based on immune-related genes

ZHANG Jingfei, LI Ling, QIN Han, WANG Zhi, LI Yunling, LIU Jinghua, CAI Zhen   

  1. Department of Stomatology, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai 264000, China
  • Revised:2022-06-13 Online:2022-10-28 Published:2022-10-28

摘要: 目的 筛选口腔鳞状细胞癌(oral squamous cell carcinoma,OSCC)中关键的免疫相关基因(immune-related genes,IRGs),并构建免疫相关预后模型来预测OSCC患者的总生存期,为口腔鳞癌临床治疗方案的制定提供依据。方法 首先从癌症基因组图谱(The Cancer Genome Atlas,TCGA)数据库中下载OSCC基因表达数据和相应临床信息。随后确定差异表达的IRGs,通过单因素Cox回归分析、Lasso-Cox回归分析以及多因素Cox回归分析建立免疫相关预后模型,并验证预后模型的预测性能。结果 本研究构建了由6个IRGs组成的预后模型。低风险组和高风险组的总生存率差异显著(P<0.05)。1、3、5年受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)分别为0.72、0.73、0.76,这表明预后模型的预测效果较好。随后的单因素和多因素Cox回归分析证明该预后模型的风险评分是独立预后因素(P<0.001)。结论 本研究确定了以6个IRGs为基础的预后模型,从而准确预测OSCC患者的预后。这一发现有助于临床医生对OSCC患者进行个体化治疗,进而提高患者生存率。

关键词: 免疫相关基因, 预后模型, 列线图, 口腔鳞状细胞癌

Abstract: Objective To screen key immune-related genes (IRGs) in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSSC) and construct an immune-related prognostic model to predict the overall survival of patients with OSCC, so as to provide a basis for the planning of clinical treatment of oral squamous cell carcinoma. Methods Firstly, the OSCC gene expression data and corresponding clinical information were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. Then the differentially expressed IRGs was determined. The immune-related prognostic model was established by univariate Cox regression analysis, Lasso-Cox regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis, and the predictive performance of the model was verified. Results In this study, a prognostic model consisting of 6 IRGs was constructed. There was significant difference in total survival rate between low risk group and high risk group (P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the 1-, 3- and 5-year receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves were 0.72, 0.73, 0.76 respectively, which indicated that the prognostic model had a good predictive effect. Subsequent univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the risk score of the prognostic model was an independent prognostic factor (P<0.001). Conclusion In this study, 6 IRGs-based prognostic model is established to accurately predict the prognosis of patients with OSCC. This finding is helpful for clinicians to individualize treatment of patients with OSCC, and then improve the survival rate of these patients.

Key words: immune-related gene, prognostic model, nomogram, oral squamous cell carcinoma

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